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 Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.In November, the scale of wealth management exceeded expectations, and the scale of 14 wealth management companies increased by over 420 billion yuan. In November, the product scale of wealth management companies ushered in a general increase. According to the obtained data, in November, there were 6 state-owned wealth management companies and 8 joint-stock wealth management companies (CMB, Xingyin, Everbright, Xinyin, Ping 'an, Huaxia, Puyin and Minsheng), totaling 14 wealth management companies, with a survival scale of nearly 22.6 trillion yuan, an increase of more than 420 billion yuan compared with October, and the growth rate was slightly lower than the impact of capital backflow in October. (21st century business herald)

During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)Monetary policy has turned to "moderate easing", and experts say that it is expected to make greater efforts to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 changed the orientation of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderate easing" next year. Experts said that under the orientation of "moderate easing", the monetary policy space was further opened. In terms of total amount, it is more reasonable and sufficient to maintain liquidity; In terms of price, appropriately reducing the financing cost will better reflect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Next year, even greater RRR cuts and interest rate cuts can be expected. In addition to lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates, experts said that structural monetary policy tools, buying government bonds, open market buyout reverse repurchase and other operations are expected to continue to expand the scale, increase the frequency of use, and continuously enhance the effectiveness and pertinence of monetary policy. (CSI)Morgan Asset Management: In 2025, there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks. Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks and increase exposure to small and medium-sized stocks. She pointed out that although the valuation may look high, it is expected that the profit growth of S&P 500 companies will continue. Sheng wrote that it is estimated that in 2025, the contribution of the six giants in the S&P 500 index to the profit growth of the other 494 stocks will be the same, and the profit growth of these six giants is expected to slow down from 40% in 2024 to 22%. In the international market, Morgan Asset Management continues to over-allocate Japanese stocks, and its quantitative model shows that the yield of Japanese stocks is attractive and the bottom-up profitability is strong.

Senior US official: Russia has provided important assistance to Iran in fighter planes, missile defense and space technology.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.